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NHLSat 21 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Philadelphia Flyers vs Montreal Canadiens prediction

Bell Centre

Philadelphia FlyersAway
2.9 : 3.1
projected goals
Montreal CanadiensHome
51%Flyers
49%Canadiens
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-508

Quick answer

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Montreal Canadiens is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.9 and Montreal Canadiens 3.1. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -508.

Prediction
Philadelphia Flyers to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Montreal Canadiens 3
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -508

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
84% chanceFair price -5082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Flyers to win
44% chanceFair price +1281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montreal Canadiens 49% and Philadelphia Flyers 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montreal Canadiens won 3 of their last 5 and Philadelphia Flyers won 2 of their last 5. Montreal Canadiens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montreal Canadiens won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Philadelphia Flyers won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Montreal Canadiens score 3.5 goals a game and let in 3.0. Philadelphia Flyers score 2.3 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.5 and 5.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Montreal Canadiens won 1 and Philadelphia Flyers won 3. The last one ended Philadelphia Flyers 4, Montreal Canadiens 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
  • Flyersrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Philadelphia Flyers vs Montreal Canadiens: Philadelphia Flyers shade it

The big picture

Montreal Canadiens host Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL on Sat 21 Nov, 19:00 at Bell Centre. Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Montreal Canadiens is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.9 and Montreal Canadiens 3.1. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -508.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 69 goals scored and 61 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Philadelphia Flyers form

Philadelphia Flyers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Montreal Canadiens won 1, Philadelphia Flyers won 3. Last time out it finished Philadelphia Flyers 4, Montreal Canadiens 2.

Our call

We expect Philadelphia Flyers to score about 2.9 goals and Montreal Canadiens about 3.1. That points to Philadelphia Flyers to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -508. Our bold bet is Flyers to win at +128.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanadiensFlyers
Games played2020
Wins125
Losses815
Goals scored6945
Goals conceded6166
Scored per game3.52.3
Conceded per game3.03.3
Home record6W 5L3W 7L
Away record6W 3L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Canadiens spreadCoversFair
Canadiens -1.529%+242
Canadiens -0.545%+123
Canadiens +0.561%-158
Total goalsOverUnder
5.559%41%
6.542%58%
7.526%74%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canadiens +3.5 wins if Canadiens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Philadelphia Flyers vs Montreal Canadiens?

Our prediction for Philadelphia Flyers vs Montreal Canadiens is Philadelphia Flyers to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.9 and Montreal Canadiens 3.1. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -508.

What is the projected score for Philadelphia Flyers vs Montreal Canadiens?

We project Philadelphia Flyers 2.9 and Montreal Canadiens 3.1, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 69 goals scored and 61 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Flyers playing?

Philadelphia Flyers have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Montreal Canadiens and Philadelphia Flyers last met?

It ended Philadelphia Flyers 4, Montreal Canadiens 2. In the last 4 meetings Montreal Canadiens won 1 and Philadelphia Flyers won 3.

What is the best bet for Philadelphia Flyers vs Montreal Canadiens?

Under 8 goals at -508, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canadiens against Flyers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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