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Predictions › United States › Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors
NBAFri 16 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors prediction

Chase Center

Portland Trail BlazersAway
113.3 : 117.2
projected points
Golden State WarriorsHome
39%Trail Blazers
61%Warriors
Eagle safe pickWarriors +4.5
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 61% chance. We project Portland Trail Blazers 113.3 and Golden State Warriors 117.2. Our best bet is Warriors +4.5 at -304.

Prediction
Golden State Warriors to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Portland Trail Blazers 113, Golden State Warriors 117
Projected total
230.5 points
Best bet
Warriors +4.5 at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +4.5
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Trail Blazers to win
36% chanceFair price +1821 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden State Warriors 61% and Portland Trail Blazers 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden State Warriors won 2 of their last 5 and Portland Trail Blazers won 1 of their last 5. Golden State Warriors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden State Warriors won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Portland Trail Blazers won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Golden State Warriors score 112.0 points a game and let in 116.3. Portland Trail Blazers score 112.9 and let in 108.5. Their recent games average 228.3 and 221.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Golden State Warriors won 2 and Portland Trail Blazers won 3. The last one ended Golden State Warriors 119, Portland Trail Blazers 97.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +4.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
  • Trail Blazersrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors: Golden State Warriors are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Golden State Warriors host Portland Trail Blazers in the NBA on Fri 16 Oct, 22:00 at Chase Center. Our prediction for Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 61% chance. We project Portland Trail Blazers 113.3 and Golden State Warriors 117.2. Our best bet is Warriors +4.5 at -304.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2240 points scored and 2326 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Portland Trail Blazers form

Portland Trail Blazers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2258 points scored and 2170 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Golden State Warriors won 2, Portland Trail Blazers won 3. Last time out it finished Golden State Warriors 119, Portland Trail Blazers 97.

Our call

We expect Portland Trail Blazers to score about 113.3 points and Golden State Warriors about 117.2. That points to Golden State Warriors to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +4.5 at -304. Our bold bet is Trail Blazers to win at +182.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WarriorsTrail Blazers
Games played2020
Wins712
Losses138
Points scored22402258
Points conceded23262170
Scored per game112.0112.9
Conceded per game116.3108.5
Home record4W 4L6W 3L
Away record3W 9L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Warriors spreadCoversFair
Warriors -9.533%+205
Warriors -6.542%+139
Warriors -3.551%-106
Warriors -0.561%-155
Warriors +2.570%-229
Total pointsOverUnder
224.563%37%
227.557%43%
230.550%50%
233.543%57%
236.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Warriors +3.5 wins if Warriors win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Stephen Curry Signs Two Year Extension With Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry has agreed to a two year contract extension with the Golden State Warriors worth 116 million dollars.

26 Sept 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Promises No Drama as Warriors Contract Decision Looms

Stephen Curry says his unsigned contract extension will not impact his play or the team vibe as the Golden State Warriors prepare for training camp.

23 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors?

Our prediction for Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 61% chance. We project Portland Trail Blazers 113.3 and Golden State Warriors 117.2. Our best bet is Warriors +4.5 at -304.

What is the projected score for Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors?

We project Portland Trail Blazers 113.3 and Golden State Warriors 117.2, about 230.5 points in total.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 2240 points scored and 2326 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Portland Trail Blazers playing?

Portland Trail Blazers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2258 points scored and 2170 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Golden State Warriors and Portland Trail Blazers last met?

It ended Golden State Warriors 119, Portland Trail Blazers 97. In the last 5 meetings Golden State Warriors won 2 and Portland Trail Blazers won 3.

What is the best bet for Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors?

Warriors +4.5 at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Warriors against Trail Blazers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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