Predictions › Spain › Real Betis vs Barcelona
LaLigaSat 17 Oct, 16:30 Spain time

Real Betis vs Barcelona prediction

Estadio La Cartuja

Real BetisHome
1.25 : 2.28
expected goals
BarcelonaAway
19%Betis
20%Draw
60%Barcelona
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Real Betis vs Barcelona is Barcelona to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Barcelona to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Real Betis 1.3, Barcelona 2.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Barcelona to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Real Betis 19%, the draw 20% and Barcelona 60%. The bookmakers agree and make Barcelona the favourite at 1.39.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Real Betis took 13 points from their last 5 games and Barcelona took 15 from 5. Barcelona come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Real Betis won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Barcelona won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Real Betis score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Barcelona score 2.8 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Real Betis games and 13 of Barcelona games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Real Betis won 0 and Barcelona won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Barcelona 3, Real Betis 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Betisrecent form+6%
  • Barcelonarecent form+7%
Betis form D W W W WBarcelona form W W W W WHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Real Betis vs Barcelona: Barcelona are favourites

The big picture

Real Betis host Barcelona in the LaLiga on Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 at Estadio La Cartuja. Our prediction for Real Betis vs Barcelona is Barcelona to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Real Betis form

Real Betis have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Barcelona form

Barcelona have 17 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Real Betis won 0, Barcelona won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Barcelona 3, Real Betis 1.

Our call

We expect Real Betis to score about 1.3 goals and Barcelona about 2.3. That points to Barcelona to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Barcelona to win and Over 2.5 at 2.32.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

BetisBarcelona
Games played2020
Wins1017
Draws60
Losses43
Goals scored3156
Goals conceded2719
Scored per game1.62.8
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record6W 2D 1L9W 0D 1L
Away record4W 4D 3L8W 0D 2L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Real Betis to win19%5.246.00+14.4%
A Draw20%4.965.25+5.9%
Barcelona to win56%1.771.39-21.4%
Over 3.5 goals50%2.001.65-17.6%
Under 3.5 goals43%2.322.15-7.2%
Real Betis +1.551%1.971.77-10.3%
Barcelona -1.543%2.351.87-20.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.46
Over 3.5 goals47%2.13
Both teams to score64%1.55
Real Betis or Draw40%2.51
Barcelona or Draw81%1.24
Real Betis to win and Over 2.514%7.17
Barcelona to win and Over 2.546%2.16
Real Betis clean sheet10%9.77
Barcelona clean sheet29%3.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.5%
1-18.9%
0-27.6%
1-37.2%
0-16.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Our prediction for Real Betis vs Barcelona is Barcelona to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Real Betis vs Barcelona?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Real Betis to score 1.3 goals and Barcelona 2.3.

Will both teams score in Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Real Betis last 20 games and 11 of Barcelona last 20.

How are Real Betis playing?

Real Betis have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Barcelona playing?

Barcelona have 17 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Real Betis and Barcelona last met?

It ended Barcelona 3, Real Betis 1. In the last 2 meetings Real Betis won 0 and Barcelona won 2.

What is the best bet for Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Betis against Barcelona. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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