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Predictions › United States › Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors
NBASat 10 Oct, 20:30 United States time

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors prediction

Chase Center

Sacramento KingsAway
112.2 : 121.9
projected points
Golden State WarriorsHome
23%Kings
77%Warriors
Eagle safe pickWarriors to win
-336

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 77% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 112.2 and Golden State Warriors 121.9. Our best bet is Warriors to win at -336.

Prediction
Golden State Warriors to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
Sacramento Kings 112, Golden State Warriors 122
Projected total
234.1 points
Best bet
Warriors to win at -336

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors to win
77% chanceFair price -3362 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Golden State Warriors 77% and Sacramento Kings 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Golden State Warriors won 1 of their last 5 and Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 5. Sacramento Kings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Golden State Warriors won 3 of their last 9 games at home. Sacramento Kings won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Golden State Warriors score 112.8 points a game and let in 119.0. Sacramento Kings score 113.2 and let in 120.3. Their recent games average 231.8 and 233.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Golden State Warriors won 2 and Sacramento Kings won 2. The last one ended Sacramento Kings 124, Golden State Warriors 118.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Warriorsrest between games-3%
  • Kingsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors: Golden State Warriors are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Golden State Warriors host Sacramento Kings in the NBA on Sat 10 Oct, 20:30 at Chase Center. Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 77% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 112.2 and Golden State Warriors 121.9. Our best bet is Warriors to win at -336.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2256 points scored and 2381 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Sacramento Kings form

Sacramento Kings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2264 points scored and 2406 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Golden State Warriors won 2, Sacramento Kings won 2. Last time out it finished Sacramento Kings 124, Golden State Warriors 118.

Our call

We expect Sacramento Kings to score about 112.2 points and Golden State Warriors about 121.9. That points to Golden State Warriors to win. Our safest bet is Warriors to win at -336.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

WarriorsKings
Games played2020
Wins68
Losses1412
Points scored22562264
Points conceded23812406
Scored per game112.8113.2
Conceded per game119.0120.3
Home record3W 6L6W 6L
Away record3W 8L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Warriors spreadCoversFair
Warriors -15.532%+210
Warriors -12.541%+142
Warriors -9.551%-103
Warriors -6.560%-151
Warriors -3.569%-224
Total pointsOverUnder
228.562%38%
231.556%44%
234.549%51%
237.542%58%
240.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Warriors +3.5 wins if Warriors win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Ben Simmons Rejects Basketball Critics in Kings Return

Ben Simmons is back in the NBA with the Sacramento Kings, shutting down critics who claimed he does not love the game.

29 Sept 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Signs Two Year Extension With Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry has agreed to a two year contract extension with the Golden State Warriors worth 116 million dollars.

26 Sept 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Promises No Drama as Warriors Contract Decision Looms

Stephen Curry says his unsigned contract extension will not impact his play or the team vibe as the Golden State Warriors prepare for training camp.

23 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors?

Our prediction for Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 77% chance. We project Sacramento Kings 112.2 and Golden State Warriors 121.9. Our best bet is Warriors to win at -336.

What is the projected score for Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors?

We project Sacramento Kings 112.2 and Golden State Warriors 121.9, about 234.1 points in total.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2256 points scored and 2381 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Sacramento Kings playing?

Sacramento Kings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2264 points scored and 2406 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings last met?

It ended Sacramento Kings 124, Golden State Warriors 118. In the last 4 meetings Golden State Warriors won 2 and Sacramento Kings won 2.

What is the best bet for Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors?

Warriors to win at -336, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Warriors against Kings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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