Predictions › United States › San Jose Sharks vs Montreal Canadiens
NHLTue 20 Oct, 19:00 United States time

San Jose Sharks vs Montreal Canadiens prediction

Bell Centre

San Jose SharksAway
3.0 : 3.5
projected goals
Montreal CanadiensHome
46%Sharks
54%Canadiens
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-319

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Montreal Canadiens is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 3.0 and Montreal Canadiens 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -319.

Prediction
Montreal Canadiens to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
San Jose Sharks 3, Montreal Canadiens 3
Projected total
6.5 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -319

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
76% chanceFair price -3192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sharks to win
39% chanceFair price +1541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montreal Canadiens 54% and San Jose Sharks 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montreal Canadiens won 2 of their last 5 and San Jose Sharks won 3 of their last 5. San Jose Sharks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montreal Canadiens won 5 of their last 11 games at home. San Jose Sharks won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Montreal Canadiens score 3.2 goals a game and let in 3.4. San Jose Sharks score 3.3 and let in 3.3. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.6 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Montreal Canadiens won 0 and San Jose Sharks won 2. The last one ended Montreal Canadiens 2, San Jose Sharks 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
  • Sharksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Jose Sharks vs Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens shade it

The big picture

Montreal Canadiens host San Jose Sharks in the NHL on Tue 20 Oct, 19:00 at Bell Centre. Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Montreal Canadiens is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 3.0 and Montreal Canadiens 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -319.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 67 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

San Jose Sharks form

San Jose Sharks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Montreal Canadiens won 0, San Jose Sharks won 2. Last time out it finished Montreal Canadiens 2, San Jose Sharks 4.

Our call

We expect San Jose Sharks to score about 3.0 goals and Montreal Canadiens about 3.5. That points to Montreal Canadiens to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -319. Our bold bet is Sharks to win at +154.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanadiensSharks
Games played2020
Wins1011
Losses109
Goals scored6466
Goals conceded6766
Scored per game3.23.3
Conceded per game3.43.3
Home record5W 6L7W 5L
Away record5W 4L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Canadiens spreadCoversFair
Canadiens -1.533%+201
Canadiens -0.549%+103
Canadiens +0.566%-190
Total goalsOverUnder
5.566%34%
6.550%50%
7.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canadiens +3.5 wins if Canadiens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win San Jose Sharks vs Montreal Canadiens?

Our prediction for San Jose Sharks vs Montreal Canadiens is Montreal Canadiens to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Jose Sharks 3.0 and Montreal Canadiens 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -319.

What is the projected score for San Jose Sharks vs Montreal Canadiens?

We project San Jose Sharks 3.0 and Montreal Canadiens 3.5, about 6.5 goals in total.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 64 goals scored and 67 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are San Jose Sharks playing?

San Jose Sharks have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 66 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Montreal Canadiens and San Jose Sharks last met?

It ended Montreal Canadiens 2, San Jose Sharks 4. In the last 2 meetings Montreal Canadiens won 0 and San Jose Sharks won 2.

What is the best bet for San Jose Sharks vs Montreal Canadiens?

Under 8 goals at -319, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canadiens against Sharks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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