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Predictions › Germany › SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich
BundesligaSun 25 Oct, 16:30 Germany time

SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich prediction

Europa-Park Stadion

SC FreiburgHome
1.65 : 2.57
expected goals
Bayern MunichAway
24%Freiburg
19%Draw
57%Bayern
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich is Bayern Munich to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Bayern Munich to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
SC Freiburg 1.6, Bayern Munich 2.6
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
75%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Bayern Munich to win and both score
40% chanceFair price 2.481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SC Freiburg 24%, the draw 19% and Bayern Munich 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Bayern Munich the favourite at 1.42.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SC Freiburg took 13 points from their last 5 games and Bayern Munich took 11 from 5. SC Freiburg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SC Freiburg won 9 of their last 12 games at home. Bayern Munich won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SC Freiburg score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Bayern Munich score 3.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 of SC Freiburg games and 17 of Bayern Munich games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, SC Freiburg won 0 and Bayern Munich won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended SC Freiburg 2, Bayern Munich 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Freiburgrecent form+4%
  • Bayernrecent form+4%
  • Bayernrest between games-2%
Freiburg form D W D W WBayern form D D W W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich: Bayern Munich are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SC Freiburg host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 at Europa-Park Stadion. Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich is Bayern Munich to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.29.

SC Freiburg form

SC Freiburg have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Bayern Munich form

Bayern Munich have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. SC Freiburg won 0, Bayern Munich won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished SC Freiburg 2, Bayern Munich 3.

Our call

We expect SC Freiburg to score about 1.6 goals and Bayern Munich about 2.6. That points to Bayern Munich to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Bayern Munich to win and both score at 2.48.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FreiburgBayern
Games played2020
Wins1314
Draws25
Losses51
Goals scored4668
Goals conceded2829
Scored per game2.33.4
Conceded per game1.41.4
Home record9W 1D 2L8W 2D 0L
Away record4W 1D 3L6W 3D 1L
Clean sheets20%30%
Both teams scored70%70%
Over 2.5 goals85%85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
SC Freiburg to win22%4.494.70+4.6%
A Draw18%5.485.50+0.4%
Bayern Munich to win54%1.871.42-24.2%
Over 3.5 goals55%1.831.59-13.1%
Under 3.5 goals42%2.392.20-7.9%
SC Freiburg +1.552%1.911.71-10.3%
Bayern Munich -1.544%2.261.91-15.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals93%1.08
Over 2.5 goals79%1.26
Over 3.5 goals61%1.65
Both teams to score75%1.33
SC Freiburg or Draw43%2.34
Bayern Munich or Draw76%1.31
SC Freiburg to win and Over 2.520%5.12
Bayern Munich to win and Over 2.549%2.04
SC Freiburg clean sheet8%13.02
Bayern Munich clean sheet19%5.21

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-28.0%
1-36.9%
1-16.6%
2-26.6%
2-35.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Vincent Kompany Stands By Man City Achievements After Financial Verdict

Former captain Vincent Kompany says he is proud of his time at Manchester City despite the club being found guilty of breaching Premier League financial rules.

9 Oct 2026
MLS

MLS chief hopes Harry Kane makes US move

MLS commissioner Don Garber hopes England star Harry Kane will play in the United States after expressing interest in a future move.

8 Oct 2026
Premier League

Premier League Giants Battle For Freiburg Striker Igor Matanovic

Manchester United, Arsenal, and Chelsea are tracking Freiburg striker Igor Matanovic, while Arsenal's Noni Madueke attracts loan interest.

6 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?

Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich is Bayern Munich to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-3 and 1-1. We expect SC Freiburg to score 1.6 goals and Bayern Munich 2.6.

Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?

Both teams to score has a 75% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of SC Freiburg last 20 games and 14 of Bayern Munich last 20.

How are SC Freiburg playing?

SC Freiburg have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Bayern Munich playing?

Bayern Munich have 14 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 20 games, with 68 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when SC Freiburg and Bayern Munich last met?

It ended SC Freiburg 2, Bayern Munich 3. In the last 2 meetings SC Freiburg won 0 and Bayern Munich won 2.

What is the best bet for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Freiburg against Bayern. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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