Predictions › United States › South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 19:45 United States time

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction

Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium

South Carolina GamecocksAway
29.5 : 25.8
projected points
Arkansas RazorbacksHome
60%South Carolina
40%Arkansas
Eagle safe pickUnder 65.5 points
-300

Quick answer

Our prediction for South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks is South Carolina Gamecocks to win, with a 60% chance. We project South Carolina Gamecocks 29.5 and Arkansas Razorbacks 25.8. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -300.

Prediction
South Carolina Gamecocks to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
South Carolina Gamecocks 29, Arkansas Razorbacks 26
Projected total
55.3 points
Best bet
Under 65.5 points at -300

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 65.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3002 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Arkansas to win
40% chanceFair price +1531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arkansas Razorbacks 40% and South Carolina Gamecocks 60%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arkansas Razorbacks won 2 of their last 5 and South Carolina Gamecocks won 3 of their last 5. South Carolina Gamecocks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arkansas Razorbacks won 2 of their last 10 games at home. South Carolina Gamecocks won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arkansas Razorbacks score 24.7 points a game and let in 33.7. South Carolina Gamecocks score 28.1 and let in 24.8. Their recent games average 58.3 and 52.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 65.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks: South Carolina Gamecocks are favourites

The big picture

Arkansas Razorbacks host South Carolina Gamecocks in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 19:45 at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Our prediction for South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks is South Carolina Gamecocks to win, with a 60% chance. We project South Carolina Gamecocks 29.5 and Arkansas Razorbacks 25.8. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -300.

Arkansas Razorbacks form

Arkansas Razorbacks have 3 wins and 15 losses in their last 18 games, with 444 points scored and 606 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

South Carolina Gamecocks form

South Carolina Gamecocks have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 505 points scored and 446 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect South Carolina Gamecocks to score about 29.5 points and Arkansas Razorbacks about 25.8. That points to South Carolina Gamecocks to win. Our safest bet is Under 65.5 points at -300. Our bold bet is Arkansas to win at +153.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

ArkansasSouth Carolina
Games played1818
Wins37
Losses1511
Points scored444505
Points conceded606446
Scored per game24.728.1
Conceded per game33.724.8
Home record2W 8L5W 6L
Away record1W 7L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Arkansas spreadCoversFair
Arkansas -3.533%+205
Arkansas +0.542%+137
Arkansas +3.550%+102
Arkansas +6.557%-133
Arkansas +10.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.557%43%
55.550%50%
58.542%58%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arkansas +3.5 wins if Arkansas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

Our prediction for South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks is South Carolina Gamecocks to win, with a 60% chance. We project South Carolina Gamecocks 29.5 and Arkansas Razorbacks 25.8. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -300.

What is the projected score for South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

We project South Carolina Gamecocks 29.5 and Arkansas Razorbacks 25.8, about 55.3 points in total.

How are Arkansas Razorbacks playing?

Arkansas Razorbacks have 3 wins and 15 losses in their last 18 games, with 444 points scored and 606 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are South Carolina Gamecocks playing?

South Carolina Gamecocks have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 18 games, with 505 points scored and 446 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for South Carolina Gamecocks vs Arkansas Razorbacks?

Under 65.5 points at -300, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arkansas against South Carolina. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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