Predictions › United States › Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction

Kenan Stadium

Syracuse OrangeAway
22.1 : 31.1
projected points
North Carolina Tar HeelsHome
27%Syracuse
73%North Carolina
Eagle safe pickNorth Carolina +1.5
-294

Quick answer

Our prediction for Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels is North Carolina Tar Heels to win, with a 73% chance. We project Syracuse Orange 22.1 and North Carolina Tar Heels 31.1. Our best bet is North Carolina +1.5 at -294.

Prediction
North Carolina Tar Heels to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Syracuse Orange 22, North Carolina Tar Heels 31
Projected total
53.2 points
Best bet
North Carolina +1.5 at -294

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

North Carolina +1.5
75% chanceFair price -2941 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Syracuse to win
27% chanceFair price +2751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives North Carolina Tar Heels 73% and Syracuse Orange 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    North Carolina Tar Heels won 3 of their last 5 and Syracuse Orange won 2 of their last 5. North Carolina Tar Heels come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    North Carolina Tar Heels won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Syracuse Orange won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    North Carolina Tar Heels score 20.9 points a game and let in 22.5. Syracuse Orange score 23.5 and let in 31.6. Their recent games average 43.5 and 55.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, North Carolina Tar Heels won 1 and Syracuse Orange won 0. The last one ended Syracuse Orange 10, North Carolina Tar Heels 27.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    North Carolina +1.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels: North Carolina Tar Heels are favourites

The big picture

North Carolina Tar Heels host Syracuse Orange in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 at Kenan Stadium. Our prediction for Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels is North Carolina Tar Heels to win, with a 73% chance. We project Syracuse Orange 22.1 and North Carolina Tar Heels 31.1. Our best bet is North Carolina +1.5 at -294.

North Carolina Tar Heels form

North Carolina Tar Heels have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 314 points scored and 338 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Syracuse Orange form

Syracuse Orange have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 353 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. North Carolina Tar Heels won 1, Syracuse Orange won 0. Last time out it finished Syracuse Orange 10, North Carolina Tar Heels 27.

Our call

We expect Syracuse Orange to score about 22.1 points and North Carolina Tar Heels about 31.1. That points to North Carolina Tar Heels to win. Our safest bet is North Carolina +1.5 at -294. Our bold bet is Syracuse to win at +275.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

North CarolinaSyracuse
Games played1515
Wins64
Losses911
Points scored314353
Points conceded338474
Scored per game20.923.5
Conceded per game22.531.6
Home record3W 4L2W 5L
Away record3W 5L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

North Carolina spreadCoversFair
North Carolina -15.534%+193
North Carolina -11.544%+129
North Carolina -8.551%-105
North Carolina -5.559%-141
North Carolina -1.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
46.566%34%
50.557%43%
53.549%51%
56.542%58%
60.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. North Carolina +3.5 wins if North Carolina win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels?

Our prediction for Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels is North Carolina Tar Heels to win, with a 73% chance. We project Syracuse Orange 22.1 and North Carolina Tar Heels 31.1. Our best bet is North Carolina +1.5 at -294.

What is the projected score for Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels?

We project Syracuse Orange 22.1 and North Carolina Tar Heels 31.1, about 53.2 points in total.

How are North Carolina Tar Heels playing?

North Carolina Tar Heels have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 314 points scored and 338 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Syracuse Orange playing?

Syracuse Orange have 4 wins and 11 losses in their last 15 games, with 353 points scored and 474 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when North Carolina Tar Heels and Syracuse Orange last met?

It ended Syracuse Orange 10, North Carolina Tar Heels 27. In the last 1 meeting North Carolina Tar Heels won 1 and Syracuse Orange won 0.

What is the best bet for Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels?

North Carolina +1.5 at -294, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in North Carolina against Syracuse. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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