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NFLSun 8 Nov, 20:20 United States time

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears prediction

Soldier Field

Tampa Bay BuccaneersAway

20.4 : 26.1

projected points

Chicago BearsHome

31%Buccaneers

69%Bears

Eagle safe pickBears to win

-265

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears is Chicago Bears to win, with a 69% chance. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.4 and Chicago Bears 26.1. Our best bet is Bears to win at -265.

Prediction: Chicago Bears to win
Chance: 69%
Projected score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20, Chicago Bears 26
Projected total: 46.5 points
Best bet: Bears to win at -265

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bears to win

69% chancePrice -2651 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Buccaneers to win

31% chancePrice +2151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Chicago Bears 69% and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Chicago Bears the favourite at -265.
2
Recent form
Chicago Bears won 4 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 2 of their last 5. Chicago Bears come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Chicago Bears won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Scoring
Chicago Bears score 24.9 points a game and let in 20.5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers score 20.4 and let in 21.9. Their recent games average 45.4 and 42.3 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.
5
The safest bet
Bears to win has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears: Chicago Bears are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Chicago Bears host Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sun 8 Nov, 20:20 at Soldier Field. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears is Chicago Bears to win, with a 69% chance. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.4 and Chicago Bears 26.1. Our best bet is Bears to win at -265.

Chicago Bears form

Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 497 points scored and 410 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers form

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 408 points scored and 437 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Tampa Bay Buccaneers to score about 20.4 points and Chicago Bears about 26.1. That points to Chicago Bears to win. Our safest bet is Bears to win at -265. Our bold bet is Buccaneers to win at +215.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Bears	Buccaneers
Games played	20	20
Wins	13	7
Losses	7	13
Points scored	497	408
Points conceded	410	437
Scored per game	24.9	20.4
Conceded per game	20.5	21.9
Home record	8W 3L	3W 7L
Away record	5W 4L	4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Bears to win	69%	-223	-265	-4.9%
Buccaneers to win	31%	+227	+215	-3.6%
Bears -6	46%	+116	-110	-11.5%
Buccaneers +6	48%	+110	-110	-9.3%
Over 47.5 points	45%	+123	-110	-14.5%
Under 47.5 points	49%	+104	-110	-6.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Bears spread	Covers	Fair
Bears -12.5	31%	+225
Bears -8.5	42%	+139
Bears -5.5	51%	-103
Bears -2.5	59%	-147
Bears +1.5	70%	-238

Total points	Over	Under
39.5	70%	30%
43.5	59%	41%
46.5	50%	50%
49.5	41%	59%
53.5	29%	71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bears +3.5 wins if Bears win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

NFL

Bears QB Caleb Williams Fined Again Over Unapproved Cleats

Caleb Williams received a $23,882 fine for wearing unapproved Caddix cleats, but he has no plans to change his footwear.

3 hours ago

NFL

Caleb Williams Will Keep Wearing Fined Cleats to Stay Healthy

Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams plans to keep wearing fined cleats despite an $11,941 penalty from the NFL.

28 Oct 2026

NFL

Montez Sweat Back With Bears After Serving Two Game Suspension

Bears defensive end Montez Sweat is back after serving a two game suspension for violating the NFL performance enhancing substances policy.

27 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears is Chicago Bears to win, with a 69% chance. We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.4 and Chicago Bears 26.1. Our best bet is Bears to win at -265.

What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?

We project Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20.4 and Chicago Bears 26.1, about 46.5 points in total.

How are Chicago Bears playing?

How are Tampa Bay Buccaneers playing?

What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears?

Bears to win at -265, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Bears against Buccaneers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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