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Predictions › United States › Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
MLBThu 8 Oct, 00:00 United States time

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees prediction

Yankee Stadium

Tampa Bay RaysAway
3.8 : 4.5
projected runs
New York YankeesHome
46%Rays
54%Yankees
Eagle safe pickYankees +1.5
-256

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Rays 3.8 and New York Yankees 4.5. Our best bet is Yankees +1.5 at -256.

Prediction
New York Yankees to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Tampa Bay Rays 4, New York Yankees 4
Projected total
8.2 runs
Best bet
Yankees +1.5 at -256

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Yankees +1.5
72% chanceFair price -2561 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Rays to win
40% chanceFair price +1481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Yankees 54% and Tampa Bay Rays 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Yankees won 4 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Rays won 2 of their last 5. New York Yankees come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Yankees won 11 of their last 14 games at home. Tampa Bay Rays won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Yankees score 5.5 runs a game and let in 3.7. Tampa Bay Rays score 4.8 and let in 2.9. Their recent games average 9.3 and 7.7 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, New York Yankees won 4 and Tampa Bay Rays won 1. The last one ended New York Yankees 6, Tampa Bay Rays 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Yankees +1.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Yankeesrest between games-5%
  • Yankeesteam news-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees: New York Yankees shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Yankees host Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB on Thu 8 Oct, 00:00 at Yankee Stadium. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Rays 3.8 and New York Yankees 4.5. Our best bet is Yankees +1.5 at -256.

New York Yankees form

New York Yankees have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 111 runs scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 11 wins and 3 losses from 14. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Tampa Bay Rays form

Tampa Bay Rays have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 95 runs scored and 58 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. New York Yankees won 4, Tampa Bay Rays won 1. Last time out it finished New York Yankees 6, Tampa Bay Rays 4.

Our call

We expect Tampa Bay Rays to score about 3.8 runs and New York Yankees about 4.5. That points to New York Yankees to win. Our safest bet is Yankees +1.5 at -256. Our bold bet is Rays to win at +148.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

YankeesRays
Games played2020
Wins1413
Losses67
Runs scored11195
Runs conceded7458
Scored per game5.54.8
Conceded per game3.72.9
Home record11W 3L8W 1L
Away record3W 3L5W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Yankees spreadCoversFair
Yankees -2.533%+201
Yankees -1.542%+137
Yankees -0.552%-107
Yankees +0.561%-157
Yankees +1.570%-231
Total runsOverUnder
6.565%35%
7.557%43%
8.547%53%
9.539%61%
10.530%70%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Yankees +3.5 wins if Yankees win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
MLB

Yankees Crush Red Sox 9-0 as Rice and Schlittler Dominate Game 1

Ben Rice drove in six runs and Cam Schlittler dominated on the mound as the New York Yankees shut out the Boston Red Sox 9-0.

30 Sept 2026
MLB

Phillies Clinch Wild Card Berth on Final Day After Treacherous Week

The Philadelphia Phillies beat the Tampa Bay Rays 7-3 on Sunday to secure the final National League wild card spot.

27 Sept 2026
MLB

Yankees Regular Season Ends Early in Rainout Ahead of Boston Series

The regular season finale between the Yankees and Orioles was canceled due to rain, as New York prepares for a wild card matchup with Boston.

27 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees?

Our prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees is New York Yankees to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Tampa Bay Rays 3.8 and New York Yankees 4.5. Our best bet is Yankees +1.5 at -256.

What is the projected score for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees?

We project Tampa Bay Rays 3.8 and New York Yankees 4.5, about 8.2 runs in total.

How are New York Yankees playing?

New York Yankees have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 111 runs scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 11 wins and 3 losses from 14. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Tampa Bay Rays playing?

Tampa Bay Rays have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 95 runs scored and 58 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays last met?

It ended New York Yankees 6, Tampa Bay Rays 4. In the last 5 meetings New York Yankees won 4 and Tampa Bay Rays won 1.

What is the best bet for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees?

Yankees +1.5 at -256, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Yankees against Rays. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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