Predictions › United States › Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts
NFLSun 18 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts prediction

Lucas Oil Stadium

Tennessee TitansAway
19.5 : 24.6
projected points
Indianapolis ColtsHome
27%Titans
73%Colts
Eagle safe pickColts to win
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts is Indianapolis Colts to win, with a 73% chance. We project Tennessee Titans 19.5 and Indianapolis Colts 24.6. Our best bet is Colts to win at -310.

Prediction
Indianapolis Colts to win
Chance
73%
Projected score
Tennessee Titans 20, Indianapolis Colts 25
Projected total
44.1 points
Best bet
Colts to win at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Colts to win
73% chancePrice -3101 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Titans to win
29% chancePrice +250+2.3% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Indianapolis Colts 73% and Tennessee Titans 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Indianapolis Colts the favourite at -310.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Indianapolis Colts won 2 of their last 5 and Tennessee Titans won 0 of their last 5. Indianapolis Colts come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Indianapolis Colts won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Tennessee Titans won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Indianapolis Colts score 24.0 points a game and let in 25.3. Tennessee Titans score 17.1 and let in 24.7. Their recent games average 49.3 and 41.8 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Indianapolis Colts won 2 and Tennessee Titans won 0. The last one ended Indianapolis Colts 38, Tennessee Titans 14.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Colts to win has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Coltsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts: Indianapolis Colts are favourites

The big picture

Indianapolis Colts host Tennessee Titans in the NFL on Sun 18 Oct, 13:00 at Lucas Oil Stadium. Our prediction for Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts is Indianapolis Colts to win, with a 73% chance. We project Tennessee Titans 19.5 and Indianapolis Colts 24.6. Our best bet is Colts to win at -310.

Indianapolis Colts form

Indianapolis Colts have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 480 points scored and 505 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Tennessee Titans form

Tennessee Titans have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 341 points scored and 494 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Indianapolis Colts won 2, Tennessee Titans won 0. Last time out it finished Indianapolis Colts 38, Tennessee Titans 14.

Our call

We expect Tennessee Titans to score about 19.5 points and Indianapolis Colts about 24.6. That points to Indianapolis Colts to win. Our safest bet is Colts to win at -310. Our bold bet is Titans to win at +250.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ColtsTitans
Games played2020
Wins75
Losses1215
Points scored480341
Points conceded505494
Scored per game24.017.1
Conceded per game25.324.7
Home record5W 6L2W 9L
Away record2W 6L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Colts to win73%-267-310-3.7%
Titans to win29%+242+250+2.3%
Colts -6.543%+135-110-18.6%
Titans +6.551%-103-110-3.3%
Over 44.5 points45%+120-110-13.3%
Under 44.5 points48%+109-110-8.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Colts spreadCoversFair
Colts -12.529%+244
Colts -8.540%+151
Colts -5.549%+106
Colts -2.557%-135
Colts +1.569%-219
Total pointsOverUnder
37.569%31%
41.558%42%
44.549%51%
47.540%60%
51.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Colts +3.5 wins if Colts win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts?

Our prediction for Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts is Indianapolis Colts to win, with a 73% chance. We project Tennessee Titans 19.5 and Indianapolis Colts 24.6. Our best bet is Colts to win at -310.

What is the projected score for Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts?

We project Tennessee Titans 19.5 and Indianapolis Colts 24.6, about 44.1 points in total.

How are Indianapolis Colts playing?

Indianapolis Colts have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 480 points scored and 505 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Tennessee Titans playing?

Tennessee Titans have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 341 points scored and 494 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans last met?

It ended Indianapolis Colts 38, Tennessee Titans 14. In the last 2 meetings Indianapolis Colts won 2 and Tennessee Titans won 0.

What is the best bet for Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts?

Colts to win at -310, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colts against Titans. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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