Predictions › United States › Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction

Bryant-Denny Stadium

Texas A&M AggiesAway
19.1 : 34.4
projected points
Alabama Crimson TideHome
18%Texas A&M
82%Alabama
Eagle safe pickTexas A&M +25.5
-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide is Alabama Crimson Tide to win, with a 82% chance. We project Texas A&M Aggies 19.1 and Alabama Crimson Tide 34.4. Our best bet is Texas A&M +25.5 at -292.

Prediction
Alabama Crimson Tide to win
Chance
82%
Projected score
Texas A&M Aggies 19, Alabama Crimson Tide 34
Projected total
53.5 points
Best bet
Texas A&M +25.5 at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Texas A&M +25.5
74% chanceFair price -2921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alabama Crimson Tide 82% and Texas A&M Aggies 18%. The bookmakers agree and make Alabama Crimson Tide the favourite at -699.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alabama Crimson Tide won 4 of their last 5 and Texas A&M Aggies won 2 of their last 5. Alabama Crimson Tide come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alabama Crimson Tide won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Texas A&M Aggies won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Alabama Crimson Tide score 32.5 points a game and let in 20.1. Texas A&M Aggies score 30.5 and let in 20.4. Their recent games average 52.6 and 50.9 points in total, and the market line is 53.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Texas A&M +25.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide: Alabama Crimson Tide are favourites

The big picture

Alabama Crimson Tide host Texas A&M Aggies in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Our prediction for Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide is Alabama Crimson Tide to win, with a 82% chance. We project Texas A&M Aggies 19.1 and Alabama Crimson Tide 34.4. Our best bet is Texas A&M +25.5 at -292.

Alabama Crimson Tide form

Alabama Crimson Tide have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 19 games, with 618 points scored and 381 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Texas A&M Aggies form

Texas A&M Aggies have 12 wins and 5 losses in their last 17 games, with 518 points scored and 347 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Texas A&M Aggies to score about 19.1 points and Alabama Crimson Tide about 34.4. That points to Alabama Crimson Tide to win. Our safest bet is Texas A&M +25.5 at -292.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

AlabamaTexas A&M
Games played1917
Wins1512
Losses45
Points scored618518
Points conceded381347
Scored per game32.530.5
Conceded per game20.120.4
Home record8W 3L8W 2L
Away record7W 1L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Alabama to win82%-456-699-6.3%
Texas A&M to win16%+538+500-5.9%
Alabama -15.547%+111-110-9.4%
Texas A&M +15.548%+107-110-7.6%
Over 53.5 points48%+109-110-8.6%
Under 53.5 points48%+108-110-8.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Alabama spreadCoversFair
Alabama -22.533%+207
Alabama -18.542%+138
Alabama -15.549%+102
Alabama -12.557%-132
Alabama -8.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
46.567%33%
50.557%43%
53.550%50%
56.543%57%
60.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Alabama +3.5 wins if Alabama win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide?

Our prediction for Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide is Alabama Crimson Tide to win, with a 82% chance. We project Texas A&M Aggies 19.1 and Alabama Crimson Tide 34.4. Our best bet is Texas A&M +25.5 at -292.

What is the projected score for Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide?

We project Texas A&M Aggies 19.1 and Alabama Crimson Tide 34.4, about 53.5 points in total.

How are Alabama Crimson Tide playing?

Alabama Crimson Tide have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 19 games, with 618 points scored and 381 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Texas A&M Aggies playing?

Texas A&M Aggies have 12 wins and 5 losses in their last 17 games, with 518 points scored and 347 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Texas A&M Aggies vs Alabama Crimson Tide?

Texas A&M +25.5 at -292, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Alabama against Texas A&M. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.