Predictions › United States › UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls
College FootballThu 5 Nov, 19:30 United States time

UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls prediction

Flagler Credit Union Stadium

UTSA RoadrunnersAway
27.8 : 32.6
projected points
Florida Atlantic OwlsHome
42%UTSA
58%FAU
Eagle safe pickFAU +5.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project UTSA Roadrunners 27.8 and Florida Atlantic Owls 32.6. Our best bet is FAU +5.5 at -303.

Prediction
Florida Atlantic Owls to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
UTSA Roadrunners 28, Florida Atlantic Owls 33
Projected total
60.5 points
Best bet
FAU +5.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FAU +5.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

UTSA to win
37% chanceFair price +1681 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Florida Atlantic Owls 58% and UTSA Roadrunners 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Florida Atlantic Owls won 4 of their last 5 and UTSA Roadrunners won 5 of their last 5. UTSA Roadrunners come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Florida Atlantic Owls won 6 of their last 9 games at home. UTSA Roadrunners won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Florida Atlantic Owls score 32.5 points a game and let in 36.5. UTSA Roadrunners score 35.3 and let in 26.2. Their recent games average 69.0 and 61.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    FAU +5.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FAUrest between games-2%
  • UTSArest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls: Florida Atlantic Owls shade it

The big picture

Florida Atlantic Owls host UTSA Roadrunners in the College Football on Thu 5 Nov, 19:30 at Flagler Credit Union Stadium. Our prediction for UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project UTSA Roadrunners 27.8 and Florida Atlantic Owls 32.6. Our best bet is FAU +5.5 at -303.

Florida Atlantic Owls form

Florida Atlantic Owls have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 552 points scored and 621 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

UTSA Roadrunners form

UTSA Roadrunners have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 670 points scored and 498 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect UTSA Roadrunners to score about 27.8 points and Florida Atlantic Owls about 32.6. That points to Florida Atlantic Owls to win. Our safest bet is FAU +5.5 at -303. Our bold bet is UTSA to win at +168.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

FAUUTSA
Games played1719
Wins814
Losses95
Points scored552670
Points conceded621498
Scored per game32.535.3
Conceded per game36.526.2
Home record6W 3L9W 1L
Away record2W 6L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

FAU spreadCoversFair
FAU -11.534%+196
FAU -7.543%+131
FAU -4.551%-103
FAU -1.558%-139
FAU +2.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
53.567%33%
57.557%43%
60.550%50%
63.543%57%
67.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. FAU +3.5 wins if FAU win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

Our prediction for UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls is Florida Atlantic Owls to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project UTSA Roadrunners 27.8 and Florida Atlantic Owls 32.6. Our best bet is FAU +5.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

We project UTSA Roadrunners 27.8 and Florida Atlantic Owls 32.6, about 60.5 points in total.

How are Florida Atlantic Owls playing?

Florida Atlantic Owls have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 552 points scored and 621 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are UTSA Roadrunners playing?

UTSA Roadrunners have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 19 games, with 670 points scored and 498 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for UTSA Roadrunners vs Florida Atlantic Owls?

FAU +5.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FAU against UTSA. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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