Predictions › United States › Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres
NHLSun 8 Nov, 15:30 United States time

Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres prediction

KeyBank Center

Vegas Golden KnightsAway
3.1 : 2.9
projected goals
Buffalo SabresHome
55%Golden Knights
45%Sabres
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-515

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.1 and Buffalo Sabres 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -515.

Prediction
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Buffalo Sabres 3
Projected total
6.0 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -515

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
84% chanceFair price -5152 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sabres to win
45% chanceFair price +1241 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Sabres 45% and Vegas Golden Knights 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Sabres won 2 of their last 5 and Vegas Golden Knights won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Sabres won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Vegas Golden Knights won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Sabres score 2.9 goals a game and let in 3.3. Vegas Golden Knights score 3.3 and let in 2.9. Their recent games average 6.2 and 6.2 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Buffalo Sabres won 2 and Vegas Golden Knights won 0. The last one ended Vegas Golden Knights 0, Buffalo Sabres 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sabresrest between games-5%
  • Golden Knightsrest between games-5%
  • Golden Knightsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres: Vegas Golden Knights shade it

The big picture

Buffalo Sabres host Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL on Sun 8 Nov, 15:30 at KeyBank Center. Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.1 and Buffalo Sabres 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -515.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 57 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Buffalo Sabres won 2, Vegas Golden Knights won 0. Last time out it finished Vegas Golden Knights 0, Buffalo Sabres 2.

Our call

We expect Vegas Golden Knights to score about 3.1 goals and Buffalo Sabres about 2.9. That points to Vegas Golden Knights to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -515. Our bold bet is Sabres to win at +124.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SabresGolden Knights
Games played2020
Wins812
Losses128
Goals scored5866
Goals conceded6657
Scored per game2.93.3
Conceded per game3.32.9
Home record4W 6L7W 4L
Away record4W 6L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sabres spreadCoversFair
Sabres -0.539%+156
Sabres +0.555%-125
Sabres +1.571%-245
Total goalsOverUnder
5.559%41%
6.542%58%
7.526%74%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sabres +3.5 wins if Sabres win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres?

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.1 and Buffalo Sabres 2.9. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -515.

What is the projected score for Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres?

We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.1 and Buffalo Sabres 2.9, about 6.0 goals in total.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 66 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 57 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Buffalo Sabres and Vegas Golden Knights last met?

It ended Vegas Golden Knights 0, Buffalo Sabres 2. In the last 2 meetings Buffalo Sabres won 2 and Vegas Golden Knights won 0.

What is the best bet for Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres?

Under 8 goals at -515, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sabres against Golden Knights. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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