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Predictions › United States › Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings
NHLThu 5 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings prediction

Little Caesars Arena

Vegas Golden KnightsAway
3.4 : 2.8
projected goals
Detroit Red WingsHome
62%Golden Knights
38%Red Wings
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-472

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 62% chance. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.4 and Detroit Red Wings 2.8. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -472.

Prediction
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Chance
62%
Projected score
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Detroit Red Wings 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -472

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
83% chanceFair price -4722 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Red Wings to win
38% chanceFair price +1621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Detroit Red Wings 38% and Vegas Golden Knights 62%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Detroit Red Wings won 3 of their last 5 and Vegas Golden Knights won 2 of their last 5. Detroit Red Wings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Detroit Red Wings won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Vegas Golden Knights won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Detroit Red Wings score 2.9 goals a game and let in 3.4. Vegas Golden Knights score 3.3 and let in 3.0. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Detroit Red Wings won 0 and Vegas Golden Knights won 2. The last one ended Detroit Red Wings 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Red Wingsrest between games-5%
  • Golden Knightsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings: Vegas Golden Knights are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Detroit Red Wings host Vegas Golden Knights in the NHL on Thu 5 Nov, 19:00 at Little Caesars Arena. Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 62% chance. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.4 and Detroit Red Wings 2.8. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -472.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 68 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Vegas Golden Knights form

Vegas Golden Knights have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Detroit Red Wings won 0, Vegas Golden Knights won 2. Last time out it finished Detroit Red Wings 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4.

Our call

We expect Vegas Golden Knights to score about 3.4 goals and Detroit Red Wings about 2.8. That points to Vegas Golden Knights to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -472. Our bold bet is Red Wings to win at +162.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Red WingsGolden Knights
Games played2020
Wins811
Losses129
Goals scored5865
Goals conceded6861
Scored per game2.93.3
Conceded per game3.43.0
Home record5W 6L6W 5L
Away record3W 6L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Red Wings spreadCoversFair
Red Wings -0.532%+208
Red Wings +0.548%+106
Red Wings +1.565%-184
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Red Wings +3.5 wins if Red Wings win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Dylan Larkin Expands Approved Trade List to Ten NHL Teams

Dylan Larkin has added seven teams to his trade list as the Detroit Red Wings continue working to move their former captain.

21 Oct 2026
NHL

Detroit Red Wings Rally Against Offseason Drama and Bad Start

The Detroit Red Wings are attempting to move past offseason drama and a slow start to the new NHL season.

15 Oct 2026
NHL

Vegas Locks Up Original Misfit William Karlsson With Two Year Extension

The Vegas Golden Knights have signed center William Karlsson to a two year, 13.5 million dollar contract extension.

30 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings?

Our prediction for Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings is Vegas Golden Knights to win, with a 62% chance. We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.4 and Detroit Red Wings 2.8. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -472.

What is the projected score for Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings?

We project Vegas Golden Knights 3.4 and Detroit Red Wings 2.8, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 68 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Vegas Golden Knights playing?

Vegas Golden Knights have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 61 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Detroit Red Wings and Vegas Golden Knights last met?

It ended Detroit Red Wings 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4. In the last 2 meetings Detroit Red Wings won 0 and Vegas Golden Knights won 2.

What is the best bet for Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings?

Under 8 goals at -472, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Red Wings against Golden Knights. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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