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Predictions › United States › Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes
NHLFri 2 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction

Lenovo Center

Washington CapitalsAway
3.0 : 3.8
projected goals
Carolina HurricanesHome
36%Capitals
64%Hurricanes
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-379

Quick answer

Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 64% chance. We project Washington Capitals 3.0 and Carolina Hurricanes 3.8. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -379.

Prediction
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Washington Capitals 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4
Projected total
6.8 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -379

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
79% chanceFair price -3792 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Capitals to win
33% chanceFair price +2011 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Carolina Hurricanes 64% and Washington Capitals 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Carolina Hurricanes won 4 of their last 5 and Washington Capitals won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Carolina Hurricanes won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Washington Capitals won 7 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Carolina Hurricanes score 3.9 goals a game and let in 2.5. Washington Capitals score 3.5 and let in 2.6. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.2 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Carolina Hurricanes won 1 and Washington Capitals won 2. The last one ended Washington Capitals 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hurricanesrest between games-5%
  • Capitalsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina Hurricanes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Carolina Hurricanes host Washington Capitals in the NHL on Fri 2 Oct, 19:00 at Lenovo Center. Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 64% chance. We project Washington Capitals 3.0 and Carolina Hurricanes 3.8. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -379.

Carolina Hurricanes form

Carolina Hurricanes have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 77 goals scored and 49 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Washington Capitals form

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 53 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Carolina Hurricanes won 1, Washington Capitals won 2. Last time out it finished Washington Capitals 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3.

Our call

We expect Washington Capitals to score about 3.0 goals and Carolina Hurricanes about 3.8. That points to Carolina Hurricanes to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -379. Our bold bet is Capitals to win at +201.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

HurricanesCapitals
Games played2020
Wins1614
Losses46
Goals scored7770
Goals conceded4953
Scored per game3.93.5
Conceded per game2.52.6
Home record8W 2L7W 2L
Away record8W 2L7W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Hurricanes spreadCoversFair
Hurricanes -1.538%+162
Hurricanes -0.555%-120
Hurricanes +0.570%-236
Total goalsOverUnder
5.571%29%
6.555%45%
7.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Hurricanes +3.5 wins if Hurricanes win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Stanley Cup Champion Jordan Staal Signs New Deal With Hurricanes

The Carolina Hurricanes have signed Stanley Cup winning captain and playoff MVP Jordan Staal to a one year contract extension.

16 Sept 2026
NHL

Capitals Sign Justin Sourdif to Eight Year Contract Extension

The Washington Capitals have signed forward Justin Sourdif to an eight year contract extension worth 6.35 million dollars annually.

16 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes?

Our prediction for Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes is Carolina Hurricanes to win, with a 64% chance. We project Washington Capitals 3.0 and Carolina Hurricanes 3.8. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -379.

What is the projected score for Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes?

We project Washington Capitals 3.0 and Carolina Hurricanes 3.8, about 6.8 goals in total.

How are Carolina Hurricanes playing?

Carolina Hurricanes have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 77 goals scored and 49 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Washington Capitals playing?

Washington Capitals have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 53 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Carolina Hurricanes and Washington Capitals last met?

It ended Washington Capitals 4, Carolina Hurricanes 3. In the last 3 meetings Carolina Hurricanes won 1 and Washington Capitals won 2.

What is the best bet for Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes?

Over 5 goals at -379, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Hurricanes against Capitals. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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