Predictions › United States › Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers
MLBFri 9 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers prediction

Dodger Stadium

Atlanta BravesAway
4.0 : 4.0
projected runs
Los Angeles DodgersHome
53%Braves
47%Dodgers
Eagle safe pickBraves +2.5
-293

Quick answer

Our prediction for Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers is Atlanta Braves to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Braves 4.0 and Los Angeles Dodgers 4.0. Our best bet is Braves +2.5 at -293.

Prediction
Atlanta Braves to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Atlanta Braves 4, Los Angeles Dodgers 4
Projected total
7.9 runs
Best bet
Braves +2.5 at -293

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Braves +2.5
75% chanceFair price -2931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Los Angeles Dodgers 47% and Atlanta Braves 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Los Angeles Dodgers won 3 of their last 5 and Atlanta Braves won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Los Angeles Dodgers won 8 of their last 10 games at home. Atlanta Braves won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Los Angeles Dodgers score 5.2 runs a game and let in 2.6. Atlanta Braves score 4.5 and let in 4.1. Their recent games average 7.8 and 8.6 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Los Angeles Dodgers won 0 and Atlanta Braves won 5. The last one ended Atlanta Braves 1, Los Angeles Dodgers 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Braves +2.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Bravesrest between games-5%
  • Dodgersteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Atlanta Braves shade it

The big picture

Los Angeles Dodgers host Atlanta Braves in the MLB on Fri 9 Oct, 20:00 at Dodger Stadium. Our prediction for Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers is Atlanta Braves to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Braves 4.0 and Los Angeles Dodgers 4.0. Our best bet is Braves +2.5 at -293.

Los Angeles Dodgers form

Los Angeles Dodgers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 103 runs scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Atlanta Braves form

Atlanta Braves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 90 runs scored and 82 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Los Angeles Dodgers won 0, Atlanta Braves won 5. Last time out it finished Atlanta Braves 1, Los Angeles Dodgers 0.

Our call

We expect Atlanta Braves to score about 4.0 runs and Los Angeles Dodgers about 4.0. That points to Atlanta Braves to win. Our safest bet is Braves +2.5 at -293.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DodgersBraves
Games played2020
Wins1511
Losses59
Runs scored10390
Runs conceded5282
Scored per game5.24.5
Conceded per game2.64.1
Home record8W 2L6W 5L
Away record7W 3L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Dodgers spreadCoversFair
Dodgers -2.528%+262
Dodgers -1.536%+177
Dodgers -0.545%+120
Dodgers +0.555%-121
Dodgers +1.564%-178
Total runsOverUnder
5.571%29%
6.563%37%
7.554%46%
8.545%55%
9.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Dodgers +3.5 wins if Dodgers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Our prediction for Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers is Atlanta Braves to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Atlanta Braves 4.0 and Los Angeles Dodgers 4.0. Our best bet is Braves +2.5 at -293.

What is the projected score for Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

We project Atlanta Braves 4.0 and Los Angeles Dodgers 4.0, about 7.9 runs in total.

How are Los Angeles Dodgers playing?

Los Angeles Dodgers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 103 runs scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Atlanta Braves playing?

Atlanta Braves have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 90 runs scored and 82 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves last met?

It ended Atlanta Braves 1, Los Angeles Dodgers 0. In the last 5 meetings Los Angeles Dodgers won 0 and Atlanta Braves won 5.

What is the best bet for Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers?

Braves +2.5 at -293, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dodgers against Braves. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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