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Predictions › United States › Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants
NFLSun 4 Oct, 13:00 United States time

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants prediction

MetLife Stadium

Arizona CardinalsAway
22.7 : 22.3
projected points
New York GiantsHome
53%Cardinals
47%Giants
Eagle safe pickGiants +8.5
-288

Quick answer

Our prediction for Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants is Arizona Cardinals to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Arizona Cardinals 22.7 and New York Giants 22.3. Our best bet is Giants +8.5 at -288.

Prediction
Arizona Cardinals to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Arizona Cardinals 23, New York Giants 22
Projected total
45.0 points
Best bet
Giants +8.5 at -288

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Giants +8.5
74% chanceFair price -2881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New York Giants 47% and Arizona Cardinals 53%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make New York Giants the favourite at -110, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New York Giants won 4 of their last 5 and Arizona Cardinals won 1 of their last 5. New York Giants come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New York Giants won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Arizona Cardinals won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New York Giants score 21.7 points a game and let in 21.6. Arizona Cardinals score 22.2 and let in 30.9. Their recent games average 43.4 and 53.1 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Giants +8.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Giantsrest between games-5%
  • Cardinalsrest between games-5%
  • Giantsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants: Arizona Cardinals shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New York Giants host Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sun 4 Oct, 13:00 at MetLife Stadium. Our prediction for Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants is Arizona Cardinals to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Arizona Cardinals 22.7 and New York Giants 22.3. Our best bet is Giants +8.5 at -288.

New York Giants form

New York Giants have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 434 points scored and 433 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Arizona Cardinals form

Arizona Cardinals have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 444 points scored and 618 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Arizona Cardinals to score about 22.7 points and New York Giants about 22.3. That points to Arizona Cardinals to win. Our safest bet is Giants +8.5 at -288.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GiantsCardinals
Games played2020
Wins83
Losses1217
Points scored434444
Points conceded433618
Scored per game21.722.2
Conceded per game21.630.9
Home record5W 5L0W 9L
Away record3W 7L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Giants to win47%+115-110-11.1%
Cardinals to win47%+112-110-9.9%
Giants +1.550%-101-122-8.4%
Cardinals -1.543%+130+102-12.3%
Over 44.5 points48%+107-105-5.6%
Under 44.5 points45%+120-115-15.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Giants spreadCoversFair
Giants -6.531%+226
Giants -2.542%+140
Giants +0.550%-102
Giants +3.559%-146
Giants +7.570%-236
Total pointsOverUnder
37.572%28%
41.561%39%
44.551%49%
47.542%58%
51.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Giants +3.5 wins if Giants win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NFL

Giants Build New Plan Around Jameis Winston While Scouting Outside Quarterbacks

The Giants are adjusting their offense for Jameis Winston while exploring veteran quarterback options following Jaxson Dart's season-ending knee injury.

21 hours ago
NFL

Marvin Harrison Jr. Stays Confident Despite Slow Start With Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. remains confident in his process despite a slow start to the season and mounting outside noise.

24 Sept 2026
NFL

Stafford and Adams Spark Rams in Dominant Win Over Injured Giants

Matthew Stafford and Davante Adams shined for the Rams in a 28-6 win while the Giants lost quarterback Jaxson Dart to an early injury.

22 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants?

Our prediction for Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants is Arizona Cardinals to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Arizona Cardinals 22.7 and New York Giants 22.3. Our best bet is Giants +8.5 at -288.

What is the projected score for Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants?

We project Arizona Cardinals 22.7 and New York Giants 22.3, about 45.0 points in total.

How are New York Giants playing?

New York Giants have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 434 points scored and 433 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Arizona Cardinals playing?

Arizona Cardinals have 3 wins and 17 losses in their last 20 games, with 444 points scored and 618 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants?

Giants +8.5 at -288, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Giants against Cardinals. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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