Predictions › United States › Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche
NHLSat 7 Nov, 21:00 United States time

Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche prediction

Ball Arena

Detroit Red WingsAway
2.5 : 3.6
projected goals
Colorado AvalancheHome
29%Red Wings
71%Avalanche
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-469

Quick answer

Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 71% chance. We project Detroit Red Wings 2.5 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -469.

Prediction
Colorado Avalanche to win
Chance
71%
Projected score
Detroit Red Wings 3, Colorado Avalanche 4
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -469

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
82% chanceFair price -4692 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Red Wings to win
29% chanceFair price +2431 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado Avalanche 71% and Detroit Red Wings 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado Avalanche won 2 of their last 5 and Detroit Red Wings won 3 of their last 5. Detroit Red Wings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado Avalanche won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Detroit Red Wings won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado Avalanche score 3.5 goals a game and let in 3.0. Detroit Red Wings score 2.9 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Colorado Avalanche won 1 and Detroit Red Wings won 1. The last one ended Colorado Avalanche 0, Detroit Red Wings 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Avalancherest between games-5%
  • Red Wingsrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche: Colorado Avalanche are favourites

The big picture

Colorado Avalanche host Detroit Red Wings in the NHL on Sat 7 Nov, 21:00 at Ball Arena. Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 71% chance. We project Detroit Red Wings 2.5 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -469.

Colorado Avalanche form

Colorado Avalanche have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 69 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Colorado Avalanche won 1, Detroit Red Wings won 1. Last time out it finished Colorado Avalanche 0, Detroit Red Wings 2.

Our call

We expect Detroit Red Wings to score about 2.5 goals and Colorado Avalanche about 3.6. That points to Colorado Avalanche to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -469. Our bold bet is Red Wings to win at +243.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AvalancheRed Wings
Games played2020
Wins98
Losses1112
Goals scored6958
Goals conceded6068
Scored per game3.52.9
Conceded per game3.03.4
Home record7W 3L5W 6L
Away record2W 8L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Avalanche spreadCoversFair
Avalanche -2.528%+261
Avalanche -1.543%+132
Avalanche -0.560%-147
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Avalanche +3.5 wins if Avalanche win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche?

Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche is Colorado Avalanche to win, with a 71% chance. We project Detroit Red Wings 2.5 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -469.

What is the projected score for Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche?

We project Detroit Red Wings 2.5 and Colorado Avalanche 3.6, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Colorado Avalanche playing?

Colorado Avalanche have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 69 goals scored and 60 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 58 goals scored and 68 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Colorado Avalanche and Detroit Red Wings last met?

It ended Colorado Avalanche 0, Detroit Red Wings 2. In the last 2 meetings Colorado Avalanche won 1 and Detroit Red Wings won 1.

What is the best bet for Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche?

Under 8 goals at -469, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Avalanche against Red Wings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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