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Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans
NBAMon 16 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Smoothie King Center

Golden State WarriorsAway
115.5 : 116.7
projected points
New Orleans PelicansHome
50%Warriors
50%Pelicans
Eagle safe pickWarriors +9.5
-312

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 115.5 and New Orleans Pelicans 116.7. Our best bet is Warriors +9.5 at -312.

Prediction
Golden State Warriors to win
Chance
50%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 115, New Orleans Pelicans 117
Projected total
232.2 points
Best bet
Warriors +9.5 at -312

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Warriors +9.5
76% chanceFair price -3122 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Warriors to win
43% chanceFair price +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Pelicans 50% and Golden State Warriors 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Pelicans won 4 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 5 of their last 5. Golden State Warriors come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Pelicans won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Pelicans score 117.7 points a game and let in 120.2. Golden State Warriors score 114.8 and let in 112.3. Their recent games average 237.8 and 227.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, New Orleans Pelicans won 1 and Golden State Warriors won 2. The last one ended New Orleans Pelicans 113, Golden State Warriors 109.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Warriors +9.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pelicansrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsteam news-4%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans: Golden State Warriors shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New Orleans Pelicans host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Mon 16 Nov, 20:00 at Smoothie King Center. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 115.5 and New Orleans Pelicans 116.7. Our best bet is Warriors +9.5 at -312.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2353 points scored and 2404 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2296 points scored and 2245 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. New Orleans Pelicans won 1, Golden State Warriors won 2. Last time out it finished New Orleans Pelicans 113, Golden State Warriors 109.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 115.5 points and New Orleans Pelicans about 116.7. That points to Golden State Warriors to win. Our safest bet is Warriors +9.5 at -312. Our bold bet is Warriors to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PelicansWarriors
Games played2020
Wins811
Losses129
Points scored23532296
Points conceded24042245
Scored per game117.7114.8
Conceded per game120.2112.3
Home record5W 5L7W 2L
Away record3W 7L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pelicans spreadCoversFair
Pelicans -7.531%+224
Pelicans -4.540%+152
Pelicans -1.549%+103
Pelicans +1.559%-142
Pelicans +4.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
226.562%38%
229.556%44%
232.549%51%
235.543%57%
238.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pelicans +3.5 wins if Pelicans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Kristaps Porzingis Steps Away From Basketball to Focus on Health

Kristaps Porzingis is stepping away from the NBA due to health issues, but Golden State may still trade his contract.

20 hours ago
NBA

Draymond Green Sent Off After Third Quarter Flare Up Against Suns

Draymond Green earned his first ejection of the season on Monday night after a scuffle with Suns players Khaman Maluach and Dillon Brooks.

3 Nov 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Leads Warriors Back From 25 Point Deficit Against Lakers

Stephen Curry scored 31 points as the Golden State Warriors erased a 25 point deficit to beat the Los Angeles Lakers 112-95.

31 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans is Golden State Warriors to win, with a 50% chance, but it is a close call. We project Golden State Warriors 115.5 and New Orleans Pelicans 116.7. Our best bet is Warriors +9.5 at -312.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans?

We project Golden State Warriors 115.5 and New Orleans Pelicans 116.7, about 232.2 points in total.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 2353 points scored and 2404 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2296 points scored and 2245 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Pelicans and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended New Orleans Pelicans 113, Golden State Warriors 109. In the last 3 meetings New Orleans Pelicans won 1 and Golden State Warriors won 2.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Warriors +9.5 at -312, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pelicans against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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