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Predictions › United States › Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs
NBAFri 13 Nov, 21:30 United States time

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Frost Bank Center

Golden State WarriorsAway
112.3 : 122.5
projected points
San Antonio SpursHome
20%Warriors
80%Spurs
Eagle safe pickSpurs to win
-521

Quick answer

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 80% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 112.3 and San Antonio Spurs 122.5. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -521.

Prediction
San Antonio Spurs to win
Chance
80%
Projected score
Golden State Warriors 112, San Antonio Spurs 122
Projected total
234.8 points
Best bet
Spurs to win at -521

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Spurs to win
80% chancePrice -5211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San Antonio Spurs 80% and Golden State Warriors 20%. The bookmakers agree and make San Antonio Spurs the favourite at -521.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San Antonio Spurs won 5 of their last 5 and Golden State Warriors won 5 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San Antonio Spurs won 6 of their last 12 games at home. Golden State Warriors won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San Antonio Spurs score 112.4 points a game and let in 107.3. Golden State Warriors score 114.3 and let in 112.5. Their recent games average 219.7 and 226.8 points in total, and the market line is 236.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, San Antonio Spurs won 2 and Golden State Warriors won 2. The last one ended Golden State Warriors 113, San Antonio Spurs 127.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Spurs to win has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Spursrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsrest between games-5%
  • Warriorsteam news-4%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San Antonio Spurs host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Fri 13 Nov, 21:30 at Frost Bank Center. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 80% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 112.3 and San Antonio Spurs 122.5. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -521.

San Antonio Spurs form

San Antonio Spurs have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2248 points scored and 2145 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Golden State Warriors form

Golden State Warriors have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2286 points scored and 2250 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. San Antonio Spurs won 2, Golden State Warriors won 2. Last time out it finished Golden State Warriors 113, San Antonio Spurs 127.

Our call

We expect Golden State Warriors to score about 112.3 points and San Antonio Spurs about 122.5. That points to San Antonio Spurs to win. Our safest bet is Spurs to win at -521.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SpursWarriors
Games played2020
Wins1011
Losses109
Points scored22482286
Points conceded21452250
Scored per game112.4114.3
Conceded per game107.3112.5
Home record6W 6L7W 2L
Away record4W 4L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Spurs to win80%-398-521-4.8%
Warriors to win19%+425+390-6.8%
Spurs -10.546%+119-118-15.6%
Warriors +10.547%+112-102-6.6%
Over 236.5 points44%+129-105-14.9%
Under 236.5 points49%+103-115-7.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Spurs spreadCoversFair
Spurs -16.531%+226
Spurs -13.540%+153
Spurs -10.549%+104
Spurs -7.559%-141
Spurs -4.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
228.564%36%
231.557%43%
234.551%49%
237.544%56%
240.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Spurs +3.5 wins if Spurs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Draymond Green Sent Off After Third Quarter Flare Up Against Suns

Draymond Green earned his first ejection of the season on Monday night after a scuffle with Suns players Khaman Maluach and Dillon Brooks.

22 hours ago
NBA

Wembanyama Drops 43 Points as Spurs Beat Timberwolves

Victor Wembanyama scored 43 points on 34 shot attempts to lead the San Antonio Spurs past the Minnesota Timberwolves 121-111.

1 Nov 2026
NBA

Stephen Curry Leads Warriors Back From 25 Point Deficit Against Lakers

Stephen Curry scored 31 points as the Golden State Warriors erased a 25 point deficit to beat the Los Angeles Lakers 112-95.

31 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs?

Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs is San Antonio Spurs to win, with a 80% chance. We project Golden State Warriors 112.3 and San Antonio Spurs 122.5. Our best bet is Spurs to win at -521.

What is the projected score for Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs?

We project Golden State Warriors 112.3 and San Antonio Spurs 122.5, about 234.8 points in total.

How are San Antonio Spurs playing?

San Antonio Spurs have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2248 points scored and 2145 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Golden State Warriors playing?

Golden State Warriors have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 2286 points scored and 2250 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors last met?

It ended Golden State Warriors 113, San Antonio Spurs 127. In the last 4 meetings San Antonio Spurs won 2 and Golden State Warriors won 2.

What is the best bet for Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs?

Spurs to win at -521, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Spurs against Warriors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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