Predictions › United States › Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens
NFLThu 5 Nov, 20:15 United States time

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens prediction

M&T Bank Stadium

Jacksonville JaguarsAway
22.4 : 20.7
projected points
Baltimore RavensHome
57%Jaguars
43%Ravens
Eagle safe pickUnder 50.5 points
-271

Quick answer

Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Jacksonville Jaguars 22.4 and Baltimore Ravens 20.7. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -271.

Prediction
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Jacksonville Jaguars 22, Baltimore Ravens 21
Projected total
43.2 points
Best bet
Under 50.5 points at -271

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 50.5 points
73% chanceFair price -2711 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ravens to win
43% chanceFair price +1301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Baltimore Ravens 43% and Jacksonville Jaguars 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Baltimore Ravens won 3 of their last 5 and Jacksonville Jaguars won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Baltimore Ravens won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Jacksonville Jaguars won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Baltimore Ravens score 24.9 points a game and let in 18.4. Jacksonville Jaguars score 28.3 and let in 18.3. Their recent games average 43.3 and 46.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 50.5 points has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ravensrest between games-5%
  • Jaguarsteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens: Jacksonville Jaguars shade it

The big picture

Baltimore Ravens host Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL on Thu 5 Nov, 20:15 at M&T Bank Stadium. Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Jacksonville Jaguars 22.4 and Baltimore Ravens 20.7. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -271.

Baltimore Ravens form

Baltimore Ravens have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 497 points scored and 368 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Jacksonville Jaguars form

Jacksonville Jaguars have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 566 points scored and 366 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Jacksonville Jaguars to score about 22.4 points and Baltimore Ravens about 20.7. That points to Jacksonville Jaguars to win. Our safest bet is Under 50.5 points at -271. Our bold bet is Ravens to win at +130.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RavensJaguars
Games played2020
Wins1315
Losses75
Points scored497566
Points conceded368366
Scored per game24.928.3
Conceded per game18.418.3
Home record4W 5L8W 3L
Away record9W 2L7W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Ravens spreadCoversFair
Ravens -5.530%+238
Ravens -1.541%+147
Ravens +1.549%+103
Ravens +4.558%-139
Ravens +8.569%-225
Total pointsOverUnder
36.570%30%
40.558%42%
43.549%51%
46.540%60%
50.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ravens +3.5 wins if Ravens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens?

Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens is Jacksonville Jaguars to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Jacksonville Jaguars 22.4 and Baltimore Ravens 20.7. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at -271.

What is the projected score for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens?

We project Jacksonville Jaguars 22.4 and Baltimore Ravens 20.7, about 43.2 points in total.

How are Baltimore Ravens playing?

Baltimore Ravens have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 497 points scored and 368 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Jacksonville Jaguars playing?

Jacksonville Jaguars have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 566 points scored and 366 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens?

Under 50.5 points at -271, with a 73% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ravens against Jaguars. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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