Predictions › United States › Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks
NFLSun 4 Oct, 16:25 United States time

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks prediction

Lumen Field

Los Angeles ChargersAway
18.2 : 24.0
projected points
Seattle SeahawksHome
26%Chargers
74%Seahawks
Eagle safe pickSeahawks to win
-340

Quick answer

Our prediction for Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 74% chance. We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.2 and Seattle Seahawks 24.0. Our best bet is Seahawks to win at -340.

Prediction
Seattle Seahawks to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Los Angeles Chargers 18, Seattle Seahawks 24
Projected total
42.3 points
Best bet
Seahawks to win at -340

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Seahawks to win
74% chancePrice -3401 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Chargers to win
27% chancePrice +2701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Seattle Seahawks 74% and Los Angeles Chargers 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Seattle Seahawks the favourite at -340.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Seattle Seahawks won 2 of their last 5 and Los Angeles Chargers won 0 of their last 5. Seattle Seahawks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Seattle Seahawks won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Los Angeles Chargers won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Seattle Seahawks score 26.3 points a game and let in 15.8. Los Angeles Chargers score 19.4 and let in 21.4. Their recent games average 42.0 and 40.9 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Seahawks to win has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Seahawksrest between games-5%
  • Chargersrest between games-5%
  • Seahawksteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks: Seattle Seahawks are favourites

The big picture

Seattle Seahawks host Los Angeles Chargers in the NFL on Sun 4 Oct, 16:25 at Lumen Field. Our prediction for Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 74% chance. We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.2 and Seattle Seahawks 24.0. Our best bet is Seahawks to win at -340.

Seattle Seahawks form

Seattle Seahawks have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 525 points scored and 316 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Los Angeles Chargers form

Los Angeles Chargers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 389 points scored and 429 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Los Angeles Chargers to score about 18.2 points and Seattle Seahawks about 24.0. That points to Seattle Seahawks to win. Our safest bet is Seahawks to win at -340. Our bold bet is Chargers to win at +270.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SeahawksChargers
Games played2020
Wins159
Losses411
Points scored525389
Points conceded316429
Scored per game26.319.4
Conceded per game15.821.4
Home record8W 1L4W 7L
Away record7W 3L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Seahawks to win74%-283-340-4.4%
Chargers to win27%+271+270-0.3%
Seahawks -6.545%+124-115-16.3%
Chargers +6.549%+104-105-4.3%
Over 43.5 points43%+132-115-19.5%
Under 43.5 points51%-103-105-1.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Seahawks spreadCoversFair
Seahawks -12.531%+223
Seahawks -8.542%+138
Seahawks -5.551%-103
Seahawks -2.560%-147
Seahawks +1.571%-239
Total pointsOverUnder
35.570%30%
39.558%42%
42.549%51%
45.540%60%
49.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Seahawks +3.5 wins if Seahawks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks?

Our prediction for Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks is Seattle Seahawks to win, with a 74% chance. We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.2 and Seattle Seahawks 24.0. Our best bet is Seahawks to win at -340.

What is the projected score for Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks?

We project Los Angeles Chargers 18.2 and Seattle Seahawks 24.0, about 42.3 points in total.

How are Seattle Seahawks playing?

Seattle Seahawks have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 525 points scored and 316 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Los Angeles Chargers playing?

Los Angeles Chargers have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 389 points scored and 429 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks?

Seahawks to win at -340, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Seahawks against Chargers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.