New York Giants vs Washington Commanders prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Over 36.5 points

75% chanceFair price -2931 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Washington Commanders 53% and New York Giants 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Washington Commanders the favourite at -142.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Washington Commanders won 1 of their last 5 and New York Giants won 4 of their last 5. New York Giants come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Washington Commanders won 2 of their last 8 games at home. New York Giants won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Washington Commanders score 19.4 points a game and let in 27.6. New York Giants score 21.7 and let in 21.6. Their recent games average 46.9 and 43.4 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 1 meeting, Washington Commanders won 1 and New York Giants won 0. The last one ended New York Giants 21, Washington Commanders 29.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Over 36.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Commanders +3.5 wins if Commanders win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.