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College FootballSat 24 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Miami Hurricanes prediction

Hard Rock Stadium

Pittsburgh PanthersAway
17.9 : 37.7
projected points
Miami HurricanesHome
12%Pitt
88%Miami
Eagle safe pickMiami -9.5
-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 88% chance. We project Pittsburgh Panthers 17.9 and Miami Hurricanes 37.7. Our best bet is Miami -9.5 at -292.

Prediction
Miami Hurricanes to win
Chance
88%
Projected score
Pittsburgh Panthers 18, Miami Hurricanes 38
Projected total
55.7 points
Best bet
Miami -9.5 at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Miami -9.5
75% chanceFair price -2921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Miami Hurricanes 88% and Pittsburgh Panthers 12%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Miami Hurricanes won 5 of their last 5 and Pittsburgh Panthers won 4 of their last 5. Miami Hurricanes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Miami Hurricanes won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Pittsburgh Panthers won 5 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Miami Hurricanes score 35.3 points a game and let in 13.6. Pittsburgh Panthers score 31.8 and let in 22.6. Their recent games average 48.9 and 54.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Miami Hurricanes won 1 and Pittsburgh Panthers won 0. The last one ended Pittsburgh Panthers 7, Miami Hurricanes 38.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Miami -9.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Miami Hurricanes: Miami Hurricanes are favourites

The big picture

Miami Hurricanes host Pittsburgh Panthers in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 at Hard Rock Stadium. Our prediction for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 88% chance. We project Pittsburgh Panthers 17.9 and Miami Hurricanes 37.7. Our best bet is Miami -9.5 at -292.

Miami Hurricanes form

Miami Hurricanes have 16 wins and 3 losses in their last 19 games, with 671 points scored and 259 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Pittsburgh Panthers form

Pittsburgh Panthers have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 541 points scored and 384 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Miami Hurricanes won 1, Pittsburgh Panthers won 0. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Panthers 7, Miami Hurricanes 38.

Our call

We expect Pittsburgh Panthers to score about 17.9 points and Miami Hurricanes about 37.7. That points to Miami Hurricanes to win. Our safest bet is Miami -9.5 at -292.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

MiamiPitt
Games played1917
Wins1611
Losses36
Points scored671541
Points conceded259384
Scored per game35.331.8
Conceded per game13.622.6
Home record7W 1L6W 4L
Away record9W 2L5W 2L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Miami spreadCoversFair
Miami -26.534%+196
Miami -22.543%+131
Miami -19.551%-103
Miami -16.558%-139
Miami -12.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.558%42%
55.550%50%
58.543%57%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Miami +3.5 wins if Miami win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Pittsburgh Panthers vs Miami Hurricanes?

Our prediction for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 88% chance. We project Pittsburgh Panthers 17.9 and Miami Hurricanes 37.7. Our best bet is Miami -9.5 at -292.

What is the projected score for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Miami Hurricanes?

We project Pittsburgh Panthers 17.9 and Miami Hurricanes 37.7, about 55.7 points in total.

How are Miami Hurricanes playing?

Miami Hurricanes have 16 wins and 3 losses in their last 19 games, with 671 points scored and 259 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Pittsburgh Panthers playing?

Pittsburgh Panthers have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 541 points scored and 384 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Miami Hurricanes and Pittsburgh Panthers last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Panthers 7, Miami Hurricanes 38. In the last 1 meeting Miami Hurricanes won 1 and Pittsburgh Panthers won 0.

What is the best bet for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Miami Hurricanes?

Miami -9.5 at -292, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Miami against Pitt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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