Predictions › United States › San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 18:30 United States time

San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams prediction

Canvas Stadium

San Diego State AztecsAway
23.9 : 31.5
projected points
Colorado State RamsHome
31%San Diego St
69%Colorado St
Eagle safe pickUnder 65.5 points
-288

Quick answer

Our prediction for San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams is Colorado State Rams to win, with a 69% chance. We project San Diego State Aztecs 23.9 and Colorado State Rams 31.5. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -288.

Prediction
Colorado State Rams to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
San Diego State Aztecs 24, Colorado State Rams 31
Projected total
55.4 points
Best bet
Under 65.5 points at -288

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 65.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2881 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

San Diego St to win
29% chanceFair price +2401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Colorado State Rams 69% and San Diego State Aztecs 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Colorado State Rams won 2 of their last 5 and San Diego State Aztecs won 1 of their last 5. Colorado State Rams come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Colorado State Rams won 3 of their last 10 games at home. San Diego State Aztecs won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Colorado State Rams score 24.5 points a game and let in 33.9. San Diego State Aztecs score 25.0 and let in 22.0. Their recent games average 58.3 and 47.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Colorado State Rams won 0 and San Diego State Aztecs won 1. The last one ended San Diego State Aztecs 45, Colorado State Rams 24.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 65.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams: Colorado State Rams are favourites

The big picture

Colorado State Rams host San Diego State Aztecs in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 18:30 at Canvas Stadium. Our prediction for San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams is Colorado State Rams to win, with a 69% chance. We project San Diego State Aztecs 23.9 and Colorado State Rams 31.5. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -288.

Colorado State Rams form

Colorado State Rams have 3 wins and 12 losses in their last 15 games, with 367 points scored and 508 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

San Diego State Aztecs form

San Diego State Aztecs have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 425 points scored and 374 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Colorado State Rams won 0, San Diego State Aztecs won 1. Last time out it finished San Diego State Aztecs 45, Colorado State Rams 24.

Our call

We expect San Diego State Aztecs to score about 23.9 points and Colorado State Rams about 31.5. That points to Colorado State Rams to win. Our safest bet is Under 65.5 points at -288. Our bold bet is San Diego St to win at +240.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Colorado StSan Diego St
Games played1517
Wins310
Losses127
Points scored367425
Points conceded508374
Scored per game24.525.0
Conceded per game33.922.0
Home record3W 7L7W 2L
Away record0W 5L3W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Colorado St spreadCoversFair
Colorado St -14.533%+201
Colorado St -10.543%+134
Colorado St -7.550%-101
Colorado St -4.558%-136
Colorado St -0.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.557%43%
55.550%50%
58.542%58%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Colorado St +3.5 wins if Colorado St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams?

Our prediction for San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams is Colorado State Rams to win, with a 69% chance. We project San Diego State Aztecs 23.9 and Colorado State Rams 31.5. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -288.

What is the projected score for San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams?

We project San Diego State Aztecs 23.9 and Colorado State Rams 31.5, about 55.4 points in total.

How are Colorado State Rams playing?

Colorado State Rams have 3 wins and 12 losses in their last 15 games, with 367 points scored and 508 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are San Diego State Aztecs playing?

San Diego State Aztecs have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 425 points scored and 374 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Colorado State Rams and San Diego State Aztecs last met?

It ended San Diego State Aztecs 45, Colorado State Rams 24. In the last 1 meeting Colorado State Rams won 0 and San Diego State Aztecs won 1.

What is the best bet for San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams?

Under 65.5 points at -288, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Colorado St against San Diego St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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