Predictions › United Kingdom › West Ham United vs Preston North End
ChampionshipSat 21 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

West Ham United vs Preston North End prediction

London Stadium

West Ham UnitedHome
2.91 : 1.04
expected goals
Preston North EndAway
75%West Ham
15%Draw
10%Preston
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for West Ham United vs Preston North End is West Ham United to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
West Ham United to win
Chance
75%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
West Ham United 2.9, Preston North End 1.0
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

West Ham United to win and both score
41% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives West Ham United 75%, the draw 15% and Preston North End 10%. The bookmakers agree and make West Ham United the favourite at 2/11.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    West Ham United took 4 points from their last 5 games and Preston North End took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    West Ham United won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Preston North End won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    West Ham United score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.6. Preston North End score 0.9 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 of West Ham United games and 13 of Preston North End games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • West Hamrecent form-3%
  • Prestonrecent form-4%
West Ham form L D L L WPreston form D L L D LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

West Ham United vs Preston North End: West Ham United are favourites

The big picture

West Ham United host Preston North End in the Championship on Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 at London Stadium. Our prediction for West Ham United vs Preston North End is West Ham United to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 3/10.

West Ham United form

West Ham United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Preston North End form

Preston North End have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect West Ham United to score about 2.9 goals and Preston North End about 1.0. That points to West Ham United to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is West Ham United to win and both score at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

West HamPreston
Games played2020
Wins93
Draws53
Losses614
Goals scored5019
Goals conceded3142
Scored per game2.50.9
Conceded per game1.62.1
Home record5W 1D 4L2W 2D 7L
Away record4W 4D 2L1W 1D 7L
Clean sheets25%5%
Both teams scored75%65%
Over 2.5 goals85%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
West Ham United to win76%1/32/11-9.8%
A Draw14%13/26/1-4.1%
Preston North End to win10%9/110/1+6.9%
Over 3.5 goals48%11/105/6-11.2%
Under 3.5 goals46%6/55/6-16.5%
West Ham United -1.553%10/111/2-20.0%
Preston North End +1.540%6/45/4-9.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals91%1/10
Over 2.5 goals75%1/3
Over 3.5 goals56%4/5
Both teams to score62%8/13
West Ham United or Draw90%1/9
Preston North End or Draw25%3/1
West Ham United to win and Over 2.562%8/13
Preston North End to win and Over 2.58%12/1
West Ham United clean sheet35%9/5
Preston North End clean sheet5%18/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.5%
3-18.2%
2-08.2%
3-07.9%
1-16.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win West Ham United vs Preston North End?

Our prediction for West Ham United vs Preston North End is West Ham United to win, with a 75% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for West Ham United vs Preston North End?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-0. We expect West Ham United to score 2.9 goals and Preston North End 1.0.

Will both teams score in West Ham United vs Preston North End?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of West Ham United last 20 games and 13 of Preston North End last 20.

How are West Ham United playing?

West Ham United have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Preston North End playing?

Preston North End have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for West Ham United vs Preston North End?

Over 2.5 goals at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in West Ham against Preston. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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